UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this battle career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in lots of ways. Durability and cardio will be a big factor and there a few more demanding than Blachowicz. Santos yells everything with full power and is based on finishing opponents. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio for a outcome. On the toes both men may have their moments, but the exact jab of Blachowicz will be likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities should find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz at 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high hazard admissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his edge standing and look for trips and takedowns into the mat where he favours control and top position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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